| |
Editor’s Note: Curious numbers |
The results of the enclosed survey of 150 randomly selected US-based medical oncologists and 27 clinical investigators
specializing in gastrointestinal cancer provide an intriguing snapshot of current oncologic practice. From
a macro, human perspective, perhaps the most important aspect of these treatment patterns is that in spite of
enormous efforts by patients and healthcare professionals and the commitment of substantial economic, physical and
intellectual resources, 52,000 individuals — enough to fill up your average football stadium — will still succumb to this
disease annually.
Could some of the morbidity and mortality of this disease be avoided with a more standardized implementation of the
colorectal cancer clinical research base? Considering the results of this survey, we can make the argument that, in general,
most patients are receiving state-of-the-art oncologic care. However, some of the findings suggest exceptions to this
rule and provide fascinating insights into the variations in how oncologists make recommendations for patients. Here
are a few of the most thought-provoking numbers...
1. 48%...
Fraction of practicing oncologists who
would not recommend adjuvant chemotherapy
or would recommend only a fluoropyrimidine
to a 65-year-old patient
with colon cancer and eight negative
lymph nodes (Figure 2).
Eighty-two percent of investigators
would offer FOLFOX in this situation
because a number of data sets clearly
demonstrate that patients with node-negative
tumors but fewer than 12 identified
nodes are at comparable relapse
risk to some individuals with Stage III
disease. The potential undertreatment
of this patient subset has significant public
health implications, especially considering
data presented at the 2007 ASCO
meeting suggesting that approximately
50 percent of patients with “Stage II”
disease — perhaps as many as 20,000
patients in the United States alone —
have fewer than 12 nodes identified after
resection.
Part of the solution to this unfortunate
situation is that pathologists simply
need to be more vigilant in looking for
and finding at least 12 nodes. I personally
don’t buy into the claim that this is
a multifaceted problem caused both by
inadequate surgery and pathologic evaluation,
as commented on by Dr Alberto
Sobrero during his discussion at the
recent ASCO meeting in Chicago.
Dr S acknowledged that he may be
a bit biased on this issue as his wife is
a pathologist, but I have heard time
and time again from many oncologists
in practice and at tertiary centers that
when the pathology report describes
fewer than 12 nodes, they simply “send
the pathologist back to the basement,”
and usually, a couple of days later, at least
12 nodes show up.
A joint education effort targeting
pathologists, surgeons and oncologists
may result in fewer relapses and maybe
less need for chemotherapy in this important
patient population.
2. 74%...
Fraction of investigators who generally
would offer adjuvant FOLFOX to an 85-year-old patient with 15 of 25 positive
nodes (Figure 8).
It is interesting that only 27 percent
of practicing docs would take this
approach, favoring instead either observation
or a fluoropyrimidine alone.
What’s even more fascinating is that it’s
not at all obvious who’s right. The docs
in practice are probably approaching this
from an Adjuvant! Online perspective,
taking into consideration that the calculated
absolute benefit from treatment at
age 85 will likely be modest due to competing
causes of mortality.
On the other hand, the investigator
perspective is also valid and is perhaps
best expressed by Rich Goldberg, who
at our recent clinical investigator Think
Tank noted that he uses FOLFOX
for the elderly patients with positive
nodes unless there is severe unrelated
comorbidity, based on the logic that
if therapy isn’t administered (and even
if it is), the patient will likely end up
receiving chemotherapy anyway in the
next two or three years for relapse, so
why not treat for cure?
3. 36%...
Fraction of practicing oncologists who
consider bevacizumab a reasonable
nonprotocol adjuvant option for a 65-year-old patient with 15 positive nodes
(Figure 9).
In stark contrast, none of the investigators
would consider nonprotocol bev in
this situation. The compelling question
of whether to utilize an experimental
arm of an ongoing randomized trial is
a daily part of oncology practice, and
in breast cancer, we can make a valid
argument that in 2004, after the first
publication of safety data with adjuvant
trastuzumab, we moved too slowly in
using it as off-study treatment for select
patients.
At this point, it’s a bit difficult to
defend off-study adjuvant bevacizumab for colon cancer, although one might
argue that 15 positive nodes is tantamount
to metastatic disease. Hopefully,
the day will soon arrive when we will
have an initial answer to this critical
question in the form of NSABP-C-08,
but at the moment, data from this historic
clinical trial are quietly percolating
in the recesses of a computer somewhere
in Pittsburgh.
4. 74%...
Fraction of investigators who believe
patients in the adjuvant setting should
be informed that modest exercise (and
diet) may significantly reduce the risk of
recurrence (Figure 18).
Most docs in practice also support this
strategy, and on this one it’s difficult to
argue, particularly when the “downside”
— as noted by WINS maven Rowan
Chlebowski — is less heart disease.
The most important data set on this
issue comes from CALGB-C89803,
Len Saltz’s “negative” trial of adjuvant
IFL. While this highly anticipated
study turned out to be a major
disappointment, the silver lining is that
it provided a stunning data gold mine
of lifestyle correlations with cancer outcomes,
as reported by Jeff Meyerhardt,
Charlie Fuchs and colleagues.
In 2005, this team presented prospectively
gathered findings demonstrating
a remarkable 50 percent lower relapse
rate among patients who exercised moderately
(six hours of walking a week).
Similarly impressive findings on diet and
relapse rate were subsequently presented
at the 2007 ASCO meeting, and interested
parties can read all about it in the
August 15, 2007 issue of JAMA. While
dietary and exercise changes seem a bit
low-tech compared to targeted molecular
therapy, the data are impressive and cannot
be ignored.
5. 68%...
Fraction of practicing docs who would
be comfortable putting patients on the
new SWOG randomized trial (iBET)
evaluating continuation of bevacizumab
upon disease progression in the metastatic
setting (Figure 31).
Not surprisingly, 100 percent of
investigators support this critical trial,
and both groups tell us that part of
their motivation to see this study succeed
comes from our previous failures in
breast cancer. To date, no randomized
clinical trial has evaluated the benefit of
continuing trastuzumab upon disease
progression for patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer, and
this has put patients and doctors in a
bind for many years.
Without data from a randomized
trial, clinicians and patients are stuck
with gut feelings and scarce data as the
main means to make the decision to continue
this relatively safe but also expensive
therapy that may or may not potentiate
cytotoxic agents even on disease
progression. Based on these encouraging
responses showing support for this trial,
I’m betting on iBET.
6. 41%...
Fraction of clinical investigators who
have used oxaliplatin as part of nonprotocol
neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy
for rectal cancer (Figure 38).
Approximately one quarter of practicing
docs replied similarly, and one
wonders whether the post hoc addition
of an oxaliplatin randomization to the
current major US Phase III randomized
study evaluating neoadjuvant therapy
(NSABP-R-04), along with encouraging
Phase II data, had led some docs to
consider using this agent, particularly
for younger patients with more locally
advanced disease.
Most investigators believe that if
neoadjuvant therapy is used, postop adjuvant
treatment is required, even in the face
of a pathologic complete response, and
that adjuvant therapy, as in colon cancer,
is likely to be FOLFOX. Incorporating
oxaliplatin into neoadjuvant therapy is
appealing not only for local control, but
to get a head start on systemic protection.
7. 43%... (mean)
The likelihood that first-line systemic
therapy would control progression of
disease for two or more years in a 60-year-old symptomatic patient with newly
diagnosed colon cancer, according to
investigators (Figure 22).
These experts would also tell such
a patient that there was a 68 percent likelihood that antitumor therapy would
control cancer symptoms, at least in the
short term.
In our recent Patterns of Care surveys,
we have continuously experimented
with new and subtle ways to tease out
the thinking behind current practice
patterns.
One powerful tool for accomplishing
this goal is to ask questions that go to the
heart of what docs actually say to their
patients. I don’t know how I would feel
if I had metastatic colon or rectal cancer
and heard these numbers, which are
probably a bit better than I would have
imagined — and a lot, lot, lot worse than
they need to be.
Neil Love, MD
NLove@ResearchToPractice.com
Select Publications
|